OVERREACTION ANOMALY DI PASAR MODAL INDONESIA (STUDI PADA SAHAM-SAHAM LQ-45 TAHUN 2014-2018)

Herly Hadimas
Universitas Bengkulu
Indonesia

Abstract

This study aims to analyze whether market overreaction symptoms occur in Indonesia Stock Exchange, specifically on the LQ-45 Index from 2014 to 2018. This research was separated over 6 and 12 months. The sample was consistent stocks of LQ-45 index companies period 2014 to 2018, it is determined by purposive sampling method. Stocks were classified into two portfolios based on the value of Cumulative Abnormal Return (CAR). Winner portfolio was 3 stocks with the highest value of CAR, and loser portofolio was 3 stocks with the lowest value of CAR. Market overreaction is measured by Average Cumulative Abnormal Return (ACAR) loser portfolio outperformed of winner portfolio ACAR. As a result, the research found that overreaction indications were evidence, but no significance statistically. The result absence of market overreaction symptoms on the Indonesia Stock Exchange showed that the contrarian investment strategy was inappropriate to use, especially on LQ-45 index stocks.

Keywords
Overreaction; winner-loser anomaly; LQ-45 Index
References

Bodie, Z., Kane, A., & Marcus, A. J. (2008) Investments (7th Edition ed.), McGraw-Hill, New York.

De Bondt, W.F.M., & R.H. Thaler. (1985) Does the Stock Market Overreact?, Journal of Finance, Vol 40. No 3, pp 793-805.

Dinawan, M. R. (2007) Analisis Overreaction Hypothesis, dan Pengaruh Firm Size, Likuiditas & Bid-Ask Spread Terhadap Fenomena Price Reversal di Bursa Efek Jakarta. Tesis. Semarang: Program Pasca Sarjana Universitas Diponegoro.

Herlianto, D. (2013) Manajemen Investasi Plus Jurus Mendektesi Investasi Bodong, Gosyen Publishing, Yogyakarta.

Hotma, H. (2004) Strategi Kontrarian di Pasar Saham Indonesia: Suatu Tinjauan Overreaction Hypothesis di Bursa Efek Jakarta. Tesis. Universitas Indonesia.

Husnan, F. (2009) Dasar-Dasar Teori Portofolio dan Analisis Sekuritas, UPP STIM YKPN, Yogyakarta.

Kamaludin. (2012) Reaksi Pemain Saham: Implikasi Libur Nasional di Bursa Efek Indonesia, Jurnal Ilmiah STIE MDP, Vol 1. No 2, pp 93-98.

Manurung, A.H. (2005) Gejala Overreaction pada Saham dalam Perhitungan Indeks LQ-45, Usahawan No.09 Th XXXIV, Sept 2005.

Manurung, A.H. (2008) Strategi Memenangkan Transaksi Saham di Bursa, PT. Elex Media Komputindo, Jakarta.

Phangwijaya, J. (2009) Gejala Overreaction Di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Tesis. Universitas Indonesia.

Piccoli, P., Chaudhury, M., Souza, A., & Silva, W. V. (2017) Stock Overreaction to Extreme Market Events, North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Vol 41. No 1, pp 97-111.

Pompian, M. M. (2006) Behavioral Finance and Wealth Management: How to Build Optimal Portfolios That Account for Investor Biases, John Wiley & Sons, Inc, New Jersey.

Information
PDF
902 times PDF : 843 times