PREDIKSI RATA-RATA ZAT BERBAHAYA DI DKI JAKARTA BERDASARKAN INDEKS STANDAR PENCEMAR UDARA MENGGUNAKAN METODE LONG SHORT-TERM MEMORY

Anisa Oktaviani
Manajemen Sistem Informasi, Program Pasca Sarjana, Universitas Gunadarma
Indonesia
Hustinawati Hustinawati
Manajemen Sistem Informasi, Program Pasca Sarjana, Universitas Gunadarma
Indonesia

Abstract

Indonesia menempati peringkat ke-6 dari 98 negara paling berpolusi di dunia pada tahun 2019. Di tahun tersebut, rata-rata AQI (Air Quality Index) sebesar 141 dan rata-rata konsentrasi PM2.5 sebesar 51.71 μg/m3 yang lima kali lipat diatas rekomendasi World Health Organization (WHO). Salah satu kota penyumbang polusi udara yaitu Jakarta. Berdasarkan data ISPU (Indeks Standar Pencemar Udara) yang diambil dari SPKU (Stasiun Pemantau Kualitas Udara) Dinas Lingkungan Hidup DKI Jakarta melampirkan pada tahun 2019, Jakarta memiliki kualitas udara sangat tidak sehat. Oleh karena itu perlu adanya model Artificial Intelligence dalam memperdiksi rata-rata tingkat zat berbahaya pada udara di DKI Jakarta. Salah satu algoritma yang dapat diterapkan dalam membuat model prediksi dengan menggunakan data timeseries adalah Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). Tujuan dari penelitian ini membangun model prediksi rata-rata ISPU di DKI Jakarta menggunakan metode LSTM yang berguna bagi para pemangku kepentingan dibidang lingkungan hidup khususnya mengenai polusi udara. Penelitian mengenai prediksi rata-rata ISPU di DKI Jakarta menggunakan metode LSTM, menghasilkan nilai evaluasi MAPE 12.28%. Berdasarkan hasil evaluasi MAPE yang diperoleh, model LSTM yang digunakan untuk prediksi rata-rata ISPU di DKI Jakarta masuk kedalam kategori akurat.

Keywords
DKI Jakarta; Indeks Standar Pencemar Udara; Long Short-Term Memory; Prediksi
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